By midmorning, the margin of the ledger page I was working on was almost entirely red.
The discrepancies were not random. That was what stopped me, what made me set down my pen and sit very still in my chair with the cold floor pressing up through the soles of my shoes. Random error scatters. It goes both ways. These discrepancies only went one direction: the recorded production of binding-oil was consistently, year after year, higher than the actual documented consumption. Not by a lot in any single year. But accumulated over four decades, the gap was enormous. Either the city had been stockpiling binding-oil in some location not recorded in any ledger I had access to, or the production records had been inflated. And if the production records had been inflated, then the city had been burning through its actual binding-oil supply faster than anyone officially admitted, and the reserve that was supposed to sustain the Kindling indefinitely was not what anyone believed it to be.
I thought about the lantern with the wrong light.
I told myself there were other explanations. I told myself I was a record-keeper, not a mage, and I did not fully understand how binding-oil worked or what variations in flame quality might mean. I gathered my flagged pages and walked to Folake’s office at the far end of the corridor, because that was the correct thing to do — bring the anomaly to the person responsible, let the institution process it, let someone with more authority and more knowledge determine what it meant. The corridor felt longer than usual. The cold in the floor felt more deliberate.
Folake’s office was empty.
This was not remarkable on its own. He sometimes attended administrative hearings in the morning. But his desk, which was always covered in the organized chaos of his current work, was bare. Not cleared — bare. As if nothing had been on it in some time. The inkwell was dry. The small oil lamp he kept burning in the corner, the one he always said helped him think, was cold and dark, the wick gray and stiff. I stood in the doorway and looked at the empty desk for a long time, and I felt the first real thread of something that was not quite fear but was adjacent to it begin to pull loose in my chest.
I went back to my room. I kept working. What else does a person do?
By the afternoon, I had pulled three more ledgers and the pattern held in all of them. The binding-oil deficit, if I was reading it correctly, had crossed a threshold approximately six years ago — the point at which the actual remaining supply would have dropped below what was needed to sustain the full Kindling across all of Vethara’s wards. Six years ago. I had been here for eleven. I had walked past those lanterns every morning for six years not knowing that what I was seeing was not the old magic holding but something else, some substitute or dilution or careful performance of continuity designed to keep the city from understanding what had already happened.
I left the Hall earlier than usual. I needed to walk. I needed to see the lanterns in the afternoon light, before the second Kindling at dusk, and I needed to look at them properly instead of the way I always had, which was the way you look at things you trust: without really seeing them.
The canal district was busy at that hour, the fishmongers packing up, children running the narrow alleys between the close-built houses, the smell of frying oil and river mud hanging in the cold air. Everything looked the way it always looked. I walked slowly, stopping at each lantern along my usual route, bending close to study the quality of the light. Most of them were fine — or seemed fine — the amber warm and diffuse and steady. But four of them, spread across the length of the canal, had that same quality I had noticed in the morning. That too-precise, too-thin light. Like a copy of warmth rather than warmth itself.
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